XRP News: What To Expect From XRP In Q3 2025

After a volatile second quarter, XRP is entering the third quarter of 2025 with several critical factors that could shape its price action over the coming months.

With regulatory clarity and ETF speculation in the spotlight, traders and long-term holders are watching closely for signs of a breakout or further consolidation.

Q2 set the stage with mixed momentum for XRP

XRP began Q2 trading around $2.13, according to an analysis of a TradingView chart, and rallied to a quarterly high of approximately $2.73 in early May.

However, the token lost momentum by mid-June, briefly dropping to $1.97 before recovering. As of time of writing on 24 June, XRP is trading at $2.18, hovering near a key technical pivot.

Regulatory clarity strengthens XRP’s position

Ripple’s settlement with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in March brought long-awaited clarity to XRP’s regulatory status. The settlement ended the legal dispute over XRP’s classification as a security.

Also, on 17 June 2025, Ripple filed a letter confirming its support for a joint motion with the SEC to end the case without further appeals or delays.

The filing made clear that both sides agree to a reduced penalty and do not seek to change the court’s earlier judgment. Ripple also clarified that it is not seeking to be excused from following securities laws in the future, even if the court removes a past injunction.

If the judge approves the settlement, it would officially bring the long-running case to a close and eliminate the last major source of legal uncertainty hanging over XRP.

Price levels to watch

A Fibonacci retracement drawn from XRP’s swing low near $1.61 to the Q2 high at $2.78 on TradingView chart outlines several key levels:

• Immediate resistance stands at $2.25–$2.30
• Support sits at $2.01 and $1.92, corresponding to the 0.5 and 0.382 Fib levels
• A break above $2.30 could open a path to the 1.618 Fib extension near $2.92
• Failure to hold above $2.00 could send price back toward $1.80 or even $1.61

So far, price action remains range-bound between $1.95 and $2.75, with volume increasing as buyers returned to the market in late June.

XRP outlook for Q3

Three primary scenarios could shape XRP price performance in the third quarter:

• Bullish scenario: In a bullish scenario, a confirmed breakout above $2.30, especially if driven by positive ETF or ecosystem developments, could push XRP toward $2.90 or higher. 
• Neutral scenario: A neutral case would see continued consolidation between $2.00 and $2.25. 
• Bearish scenario: If sellers regain control and price loses $2.00 support, XRP may revisit levels near $1.80 or lower.

With momentum building and catalysts on the horizon, XRP’s performance in Q3 will likely depend on whether development progress and regulatory wins translate into renewed market conviction.

Catalysts that could shape Q3

ETF applications

Firms, including Grayscale and Bitwise, have submitted spot XRP ETF applications, and analysts have recently increased approval odds to 95% this year.

Macro environment

A potential US Federal Reserve rate cut in July and broader crypto market sentiment, especially Bitcoin’s performance, may influence XRP’s trend.

Legal proceedings near final resolution

Ripple and the SEC have jointly requested the court to approve a settlement that would end the case without further appeals. If approved, this would fully close the long-running legal battle.