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Fed Holds Rates Steady at 4.25–4.5% As Trump Blasts Powell

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Adewale Olarinde @ CryptoManiaks
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Adewale Olarinde
Adewale Olarinde @ CryptoManiaks Adewale Olarinde
On-Chain Data Analysis and Market Insights
Expertise
  • Cryptocurrency journalism and editorial strategy
  • Blockchain and Web3 market research
  • On-chain data analysis (Glassnode, Santiment, CryptoQuant, Coinglass)
  • Tokenomics and decentralized finance (DeFi) insights
  • Price analysis and market forecasting
  • Data-driven storytelling and content optimization
Biography

Adewale Olarinde is an experienced crypto journalist and content strategist with over five years of expertise covering blockchain technology, digital assets, and the evolving Web3 landscape.

At CryptoManiaks, he delivers clear, data-backed insights that simplify complex market trends for a wide audience, from crypto newcomers to institutional readers. Adewale’s work combines rigorous on-chain analysis with accessible storytelling, helping readers make informed decisions in a fast-paced and often volatile industry.

He is proficient in analytical tools such as Glassnode, Santiment, Coinglass, and CryptoQuant, which he uses to craft timely reports on price movements, token performance, and sector-wide developments.

Before joining CryptoManiaks, he contributed to several leading crypto publications and supported content strategy for blockchain-native projects. Adewale is also the founder of TokenTalks, a publication focused on deep crypto market research and narrative-driven analysis. Known for his precision and editorial discipline, he consistently bridges the gap between data and narrative in the Web3 space.

On-Chain Data Analysis and Market Insights

Sparkle icon AI Overview

The Federal Reserve left its policy rate at 4.25–4.50% on June 18, keeping a data‑dependent stance and continuing balance‑sheet runoff while warning that inflation remains above target and new tariffs could raise prices. Crypto markets dipped on the cautious tone.

  • Policy stance: Fed held rates, IORB at 4.4%, and will cap monthly Treasuries $5B and MBS $35B while running repo ops up to $500B.
  • Tariff risk: Powell said Trump’s new tariffs haven’t yet driven inflation but could add upward pressure in the second half of the year.
  • Crypto reaction: Risk assets pulled back—BTC ~‑1.2%, ETH ~‑2.1%—and total crypto market cap briefly fell below $3.34T amid policy uncertainty.

The US Federal Reserve voted on 18 June 2025 to keep interest rates unchanged at 4.25% to 4.5%, marking the fifth straight meeting without a cut. The crypto market saw a slight dip in response to the rate announcement, as traders became more cautious.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell also noted that while Trump tariffs are not yet driving inflation, their impact could grow in the second half of the year.

Fed maintains current rate

Fed Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated in his press conference that while inflation has eased from its peak, it’s still above the 2% target, and the central bank needs “greater confidence” before lowering rates.

The Fed’s statement noted continued growth in the economy and a strong labor market, but inflation remains “somewhat elevated.” Powell emphasized that any future cuts would be “data-dependent” and that it was still too early to declare victory over inflation.

The accompanying implementation note confirmed that the Fed would maintain the interest rate paid on reserve balances at 4.4%, effective 20 June. 

The central bank also plans to continue reducing its balance sheet, capping monthly Treasury redemptions at $5billion and agency Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) at $35bn. Overnight repurchase agreement operations will continue with limits of up to $500bn, providing liquidity as needed.

Fed watches for inflation from tariffs

Powell addressed the effect of the Trump administration’s new tariffs during his post-meeting remarks, noting that while they haven’t significantly influenced the current inflation picture, the Fed remains alert to their potential impact.

“We are monitoring the potential inflationary effects of the new tariffs closely. At this point, they don’t appear to be a significant factor in the current inflation data, but they could influence prices in the second half of the year,” Powell said.

He added that the goods inflation seen so far remains modest, but incoming data over the summer will be key in assessing whether the tariffs feed into broader price pressures.

Crypto market pulls back

Traders had hoped for a more dovish tone or clearer signals of a rate cut, but Powell offered none.

Bitcoin slipped by 1.2% to trade just above $104,000, while Ethereum dropped 2.1% to around $2,520. Altcoins saw sharper losses, with high-volatility assets like Solana, AVAX, and PEPE each dropping over 3% post-announcement.

Crypto market cap 24-hr chart
Crypto market cap 24-hour chart. Source: CoinGecko

The total crypto market cap briefly dipped below $3.34trillion after the FOMC statement but recovered slightly to around $3.37trn on 19 June. 24-hour trading volume stood at roughly $100.9bn, reflecting moderate activity amid policy uncertainty.

What it means for crypto

Higher interest rates generally weigh on risk assets, including crypto. With the Fed showing no rush to cut, traders may rotate into safer assets or remain on the sidelines.

The uncertainty around when the first cut will come continues to cloud short-term market sentiment.

Trump blasts Powell’s leadership

Ahead of the Fed announcement yesterday, US president Donald Trump criticized Powell from the White House and called him “a stupid person” while blaming him for costing the country “hundreds of billions” in extra interest payments.

Trump argued that rates should be 2 to 2.5 percentage points lower, pointing to Europe’s multiple cuts in contrast to the US Fed’s inaction.

In another post on Truth Social, he also referred to the Fed Chair as a “real dummy”, insisting he’s costing Americans billions.

Donald Trump on Truth Social
Source: Truth Social

Looking ahead

The Fed’s next meeting is scheduled for late July. Until then, crypto markets may continue to trade with caution, especially as rate-sensitive macro data like inflation, jobs, and GDP roll in. For now, the Fed is holding firm — and so are traders’ nerves.

Adewale Olarinde @ CryptoManiaks
Adewale Olarinde

Adewale Olarinde is an experienced crypto journalist and content strategist with over five years of expertise covering blockchain technology, digital assets, and the evolving Web3 landscape.

At CryptoManiaks, he delivers clear, data-backed insights that simplify complex market trends for a wide audience, from crypto newcomers to institutional readers. Adewale’s work combines rigorous on-chain analysis with accessible storytelling, helping readers make informed decisions in a fast-paced and often volatile industry.

He is proficient in analytical tools such as Glassnode, Santiment, Coinglass, and CryptoQuant, which he uses to craft timely reports on price movements, token performance, and sector-wide developments.

Before joining CryptoManiaks, he contributed to several leading crypto publications and supported content strategy for blockchain-native projects. Adewale is also the founder of TokenTalks, a publication focused on deep crypto market research and narrative-driven analysis. Known for his precision and editorial discipline, he consistently bridges the gap between data and narrative in the Web3 space.

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