DeepSeek v ChatGPT: How Do Their 2025 Bitcoin Predictions Differ?

OpenAI’s ChatGPT o1 model predicts Bitcoin price to range between $135,000-$180,000 by the end of 2025, while DeepSeek predicts $120,000–$140,000.

China’s DeepSeek R1 artificial intelligence (AI) model has created quite a storm in the financial markets today, Monday January 27. The DeepSeek AI excels in advanced reasoning compared with the more popular OpenAI’s ChatGPT o1. Most importantly, DeepSeek is free to use.

The Chinese developers created the AI model at a fraction of the cost of ChatGPT. According to reports, DeepSeek was developed for $5.6million, while other AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, or even Google’s Gemini took hundreds of millions in funding.

But how does this new AI model fair in crypto analysis? To understand its abilities in advanced reasoning and technical analysis, we asked DeepSeek and ChatGpt to provide a price prediction.

Setting up the parameters for price prediction

To make sure both AI models have the best foundation of data and information for their technical analysis, we provided sufficient context. On both ChatGPT and DeepSeek, we used the ‘web search’ function to ask the AI models about the current regulatory developments related to Bitcoin in 2025.

As expected, both models efficiently provided an extensive account of developments, including the prospects of a Bitcoin reserve in the US, the recent prospects of banks being able to custody crypto, Bitcoin ETFs, Europe’s MiCA regulation, and much more.

From there, use provided technical data of Bitcoin’s market movement for the past six months. This included the general price chart, Average Directional Index (ADX), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Fear and Greed Index, and other other metrics.

Here’s the analytical summary of the data provided, which was the same output from both DeepSeek and ChatGPT:

ADX (Average Directional Index):

• Current ADX: 48 (strong trend strength).
• 6-month average: 51 (historically strong momentum).
• Interpretation: The trend remains strong, though the slight dip from 51 to 48 suggests potential consolidation or weakening momentum. However, no immediate reversal signal.

RSI (Relative Strength Index):

• Current RSI: 47 (neutral territory).
• Historical context: Mostly below 70 (no sustained overbought conditions).
• Interpretation: Balanced market sentiment, with room for upward movement if demand increases.

Fear & Greed index:

• “Greed” (but at the lower end).
• Interpretation: Cautious optimism; not yet at extremes that typically precede corrections.

Bitcoin dominance:

• 59% dominance signals investor preference for Bitcoin over altcoins, likely driven by regulatory clarity and institutional adoption.

DeepSeek Bitcoin price prediction 2025

Base case (60% probability)

• Scenario: Regulatory tailwinds + steady institutional inflows + neutral-to-positive macro.
• Technical outlook: ADX stabilizes near 50, RSI oscillates between 40–60, dominance holds above 55%.
• Price target: 120,000–140,000 by end-2025 (+20–40% from current $101k).

Bull Case (25% robability)

• Scenario: U.S. Bitcoin reserve materializes + ETF inflows surge + ‘FOMO‘ retail participation.
• Technical outlook: ADX spikes above 60, RSI breaches 70 (overbought), dominance dips as altcoins rally.
• Price target: 150,000–180,000 (new all-time highs).

Bear case (15% probability)

• Scenario: Regulatory setbacks (e.g., strict IRS rules) + macroeconomic recession.
• Technical outlook: ADX collapses below 25 (trend reversal), RSI drops to 30 (oversold), dominance falls below 50%.
• Price target: 70,000–85,000 (correction to 2024 support levels).

The most likely trajectory aligns with the base case, driven by institutional adoption and regulatory clarity. Technical indicators suggest Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase with upward potential, assuming no black-swan events. The 2024 halving’s supply shock (if applicable) and ETF-driven demand could amplify gains, but overextension is limited by neutral RSI and tempered greed sentiment.

Key watchlist

• SEC’s crypto task force outcomes (Q2 2025).
• U.S. Bitcoin reserve progress.
• RSI breaking above 60 or below 40 for trend confirmation.

ChatGPT Bitcoin price prediction for 2025

1. Short-term outlook (Q1 2025):
   • Current indicators (neutral RSI, strong ADX, and mild greed sentiment) suggest consolidation or gradual growth.
   • Range: $95,000 – $110,000.
2. Mid-term outlook (Q2-Q3 2025):
   • Anticipated reduction in M&A barriers and regulatory clarity could drive institutional inflows, supported by rising Bitcoin dominance.
   • Range: $110,000 – $130,000.
3. End-of-year outlook (Q4 2025):
   • If positive macroeconomic factors (e.g., global rate cuts) coincide with continued Bitcoin adoption by corporations (e.g., “Bitcoin Standard Corporations”) and mainstream users, Bitcoin could target new highs.
   • Range: $135,000 – $180,000.

Assumptions and risks

• Positive regulatory clarity persists.
• No major macroeconomic shocks (e.g., black swan events like geopolitical tensions or stricter bans).
• Institutional inflows continue to rise, and retail adoption does not slow significantly.

Note: These price predictions were generated by AI models based on the current technical data from Bitcoin’s price chart. The tests were conducted to understand the different processes used by DeepSeek and ChatGPT to evaluate the crypto market, and it should not be considered as financial advice.